Monday, November 21, 2011

Who's to blame for PiS's sixth straight election loss?

Law and Justice (PiS) leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski's answer to the question of who is to blame for his party's sixth straight election loss is . . . not him. Surprise, surprise.

Kaczynski's answer -- which has taken on extra importance since a group of PiS MPs has since quit the party or been kicked out to form a rival party -- spreads across 11 whole pages sent to PiS believers over the weekend. What's that old saw about liars feeling the need to over-explain themselves?

Kaczynski, anyway, blames that bugbear of the right: the liberal media. The "media" completely blew out of proportion anti-PiS stories and worked as the de facto third arm of the election-winning Civic Platform (PO), which has now won six straight elections.

A major culprit is also Zbigniew Ziobro and Jacek Kurski, the two de facto leaders of the latest splinter group from PiS. Ziobro, Kurski and others demanded change in PiS in order to make the party electable. Problem is, questioning Kaczynski is not allowed and they were turfed. Now that I know they were to blame for the election loss, I can understand why they had to be kicked out.

Kaczynski also mentions that the right-wing of the political scene is beset by similar problems as in the 1990s, when right-of-centre parties splintered and re-splintered as no one could work with each other. Kaczynski blamed unrealistic ambition for the splits and said this was returning.

Ahhh, I get it. The "unrealistic ambition" of leaders who don't know that they can't win elections and then just weaken everyone else is why PiS can't win an election.

Hmmmm, I wonder where the "unrealistic ambition" really lies these days.

PiS couldn't have lost because Kaczynski is the least trusted politician in Poland with the biggest negative electorate. No, no, no. It also wasn't because Kaczynski accused German Chancellor Angela Merkel of de facto being a spy, reminding everyone how brash, divisive and alienating he can be. It likewise wasn't because no one believes that PiS won't manipulate all organs of power to achieving their spurious goals if they win and then proceed to make a hash of it.

And it definitely wasn't because the PiS leader is scared of any resistance -- whether internally or from PO leader Donald Tusk, who Kaczynski refused to debate in the recent election campaign -- and doesn't know when he's become the problem. No one but Kaczynski can control PiS anymore but PiS with Kaczynski can't win elections. A funny quandary.

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